Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

226.57 – 120.03

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

45 – 208

Prediction missed · off by 134.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 373.9 ±13.9

5492Winner's Circle Robo Jockey's

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 63.34Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 75.38Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5002Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 113Event APEX 87.85Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 475.1 ±11.6

7111RAD Robotics

Season APEX 134.7Event APEX 62.69Rank 8Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 69.97Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3792Army Ants

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX -12.63Rank 29Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5492, 7525, 5002

/ 100 compat

Projected

226.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 5492, 7525, 5002

Auto

33.2 15%

Teleop

140.6 64%

Endgame

46.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7111, 3492, 3792

/ 100 compat

Projected

120 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7111, 3492, 3792

Auto

27.4 22%

Teleop

88.9 72%

Endgame

7.2 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 1.15

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score226.6pts

Blue projected score120pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.5
Score range: 83–264
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 253 vs event baseline 205.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

373.9Season APEX475.1

33.2Auto27.4

140.6Teleop88.9

46.3Endgame7.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	32
teleop	1	133
endgame	0	43
foul	25	0
total	45	208

Result

Final score

45 – 208

Prediction missed · off by 134.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.