Qualification · Qualification 22
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
213.04 – 361.01
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
308 – 597
Prediction correct · off by 165.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 427.3 ±13.5
Season APEX 249Event APEX 142.63Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 105.7Event APEX 40.09Rank 20Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 30.32Rank 41Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 89
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 575 ±15.6
Season APEX 378Event APEX 188.75Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
11037Clarksville Cyber Storm
Provisional
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 9.04Rank 40Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 163.22Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 4020, 4107, 10961
74
/ 100 compatProjected
213 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 4020, 4107, 10961
Auto
37.5 20%
Teleop
101.6 54%
Endgame
50.4 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2481, 11037, 4504
84
/ 100 compatProjected
361 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 2481, 11037, 4504
Auto
58.6 18%
Teleop
222.7 67%
Endgame
51.5 15%
Strengths
- · 2481 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.97 · Blue 2.54
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score213pts
Blue projected score361pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 62%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 17%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -148
- Score range
- 178–396
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
427.3Season APEX575
37.5Auto58.6
101.6Teleop222.7
50.4Endgame51.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 60 | 106 |
| teleop | 158 | 362 |
| endgame | 85 | 99 |
| foul | 5 | 30 |
| total | 308 | 597 |
Result
Final score
308 – 597
Prediction correct · off by 165.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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