Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.41 – 85.62

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

71 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 20.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 330 ±16.2

2973Mad Rockers

Provisional

Season APEX 13Event APEX -31.51Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 69.11Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5045SpartaBot

Season APEX 81.2Event APEX 19.81Rank 28Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 256.2 ±17.5

4265Secret City Wildbots

Season APEX 103.4Event APEX 20.38Rank 19Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4306Robokomodos

Provisional

Season APEX 57.6Event APEX 45.75Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

34Rockets

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 19.49Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2973, 3966, 5045

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.4 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 2973, 3966, 5045

Auto

13.6 19%

Teleop

50.7 70%

Endgame

7.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4265, 4306, 34

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4265, 4306, 34

Auto

15.8 17%

Teleop

64.9 69%

Endgame

13.4 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score57.4pts

Blue projected score85.6pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -28.2
Score range: 21–122
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 129 vs event baseline 200.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

330Season APEX256.2

13.6Auto15.8

50.7Teleop64.9

7.7Endgame13.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	14
teleop	32	25
endgame	19	19
foul	0	0
total	71	58

Result

Final score

71 – 58

Prediction missed · off by 20.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.