Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

136.62 – 68.26

70%30%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

168 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.3 ±13.5

3260SHARP

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX -1Rank 30Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88

3492Putnam Area Robotics Team (P.A.R.T.s)

Season APEX 185.9Event APEX 55.1Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5492Winner's Circle Robo Jockey's

Season APEX 101.8Event APEX 82.52Rank 39Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 111.8 ±20.8

4306Robokomodos

Provisional

Season APEX 57.6Event APEX 62.01Rank 45Record 2-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

2973Mad Rockers

Provisional

Season APEX 13Event APEX 7.25Rank 48Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6107CyberJagzz

Provisional

Season APEX 41.2Event APEX -1Rank 38Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3260, 3492, 5492

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 3260, 3492, 5492

Auto

19.6 14%

Teleop

49.3 36%

Endgame

67.6 50%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4306, 2973, 6107

/ 100 compat

Projected

68.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 4306, 2973, 6107

Auto

8.8 12%

Teleop

35.1 47%

Endgame

30.7 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score136.6pts

Blue projected score68.3pts

Red win probability70%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 68.4
Score range: 31–174
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 190 vs event baseline 207.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.3Season APEX111.8

19.6Auto8.8

49.3Teleop35.1

67.6Endgame30.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	0
teleop	111	15
endgame	27	7
foul	0	0
total	168	22

Result

Final score

168 – 22

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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