Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

131.67 – 80.98

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

457 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 177.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.1 ±11.7

6517So-Kno Robo

Season APEX 235.2Event APEX 2.44Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4504B. C. Robotics

Season APEX 113.9Event APEX 74.36Rank 5Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4020Cyber Tribe

Season APEX 249Event APEX 54.87Rank 11Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 299.2 ±14.5

7525Pioneers

Season APEX 159.1Event APEX 50.46Rank 37Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3140Flagship

Season APEX 44.9Event APEX 17.68Rank 35Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

34Rockets

Season APEX 95.2Event APEX 12.84Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6517, 4504, 4020

/ 100 compat

Projected

131.7 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6517, 4504, 4020

Auto

21.7 16%

Teleop

103.3 77%

Endgame

8.6 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7525, 3140, 34

/ 100 compat

Projected

81 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7525, 3140, 34

Auto

14.0 16%

Teleop

54.9 61%

Endgame

20.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.13 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score131.7pts

Blue projected score81pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.7
Score range: 45–168
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-17
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 567 vs event baseline 201.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.1Season APEX299.2

21.7Auto14

103.3Teleop54.9

8.6Endgame20.5

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	26
teleop	230	66
endgame	81	18
foul	90	0
total	457	110

Result

Final score

457 – 110

Prediction correct · off by 177.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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