Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

138.93 – 129.47

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 108.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 473.7 ±13.5

5002Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 113Event APEX 13.79Rank 22Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 27.43Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 97.71Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 291.3 ±15

3959Mech Tech

Season APEX 147.7Event APEX 61.39Rank 23Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10137RoboKats

Season APEX 81.5Event APEX 54.29Rank 26Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7917Frontier

Season APEX 62.1Event APEX 13.79Rank 44Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5002, 120, 2638

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 5002, 120, 2638

Auto

19.7 14%

Teleop

95.8 69%

Endgame

23.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3959, 10137, 7917

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.5 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3959, 10137, 7917

Auto

25.9 20%

Teleop

68.7 54%

Endgame

31.9 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score138.9pts

Blue projected score129.5pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 9.5
Score range: 93–175
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 198.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

473.7Season APEX291.3

19.7Auto25.9

95.8Teleop68.7

23.5Endgame31.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	34
teleop	234	80
endgame	60	24
foul	0	0
total	348	138

Result

Final score

348 – 138

Prediction correct · off by 108.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.