Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

533.1 – 325.88

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

436 – 319

Prediction correct · off by 52 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 800.7 ±11.7

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 69.91Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 161.98Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 301.21Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±11.7

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 29.4Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 172.46Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 124.02Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 120, 9401, 2481

/ 100 compat

Projected

533.1 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 120, 9401, 2481

Auto

101.5 19%

Teleop

294.5 56%

Endgame

134.4 25%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1308, 2638, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

325.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1308, 2638, 3966

Auto

57.3 18%

Teleop

194.7 60%

Endgame

70.9 22%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score533.1pts

Blue projected score325.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 207.2
Score range: 287–572
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 755 vs event baseline 216.7.

← Previous

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

800.7Season APEX535

101.5Auto57.3

294.5Teleop194.7

134.4Endgame70.9

0Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	140	23
teleop	195	177
endgame	101	119
foul	0	0
total	436	319

Result

Final score

436 – 319

Prediction correct · off by 52 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.