Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

543.02 – 328.75

94%6%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

469 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 800.7 ±11.7

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 73.44Rank 14Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 165.06Rank 3Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2481Roboteers

Season APEX 378Event APEX 304.52Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 535 ±11.7

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 30.42Rank 33Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2638Rebel Robotics

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 173.39Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3966Gryphon Command

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 124.94Rank 4Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 120, 9401, 2481

/ 100 compat

Projected

543 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 120, 9401, 2481

Auto

101.7 19%

Teleop

307.2 57%

Endgame

133.4 25%

Strengths

· 2481 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1308, 2638, 3966

/ 100 compat

Projected

328.8 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1308, 2638, 3966

Auto

59.8 18%

Teleop

195.7 60%

Endgame

69.7 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.73

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score543pts

Blue projected score328.8pts

Red win probability94%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 214.3
Score range: 290–582
Upset likelihood: 6%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 773 vs event baseline 214.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

800.7Season APEX535

101.7Auto59.8

307.2Teleop195.7

133.4Endgame69.7

0Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	100	39
teleop	213	186
endgame	141	79
foul	15	0
total	469	304

Result

Final score

469 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 49.4 pts

Match videos

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